Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.031534 0.036698 0.042380 0.049090 0.056787 0.065333 0.075530
2025-09-28 0.023490 0.030132 0.038116 0.048387 0.061214 0.076667 0.096654
2025-10-05 0.019520 0.027235 0.037237 0.051075 0.069636 0.093567 0.126646
2025-10-12 0.016356 0.024592 0.036009 0.052848 0.076877 0.109729 0.157790
2025-10-19 0.013106 0.021116 0.032924 0.051387 0.079255 0.119413 0.181218
2025-10-26 0.010894 0.018693 0.030852 0.050886 0.082685 0.130697 0.207970
2025-11-02 0.008962 0.016320 0.028405 0.049319 0.084095 0.138905 0.230809
2025-11-09 0.007505 0.014448 0.026425 0.048113 0.085756 0.147469 0.254886
2025-11-16 0.006513 0.013204 0.025278 0.048074 0.089218 0.159132 0.285009
2025-11-23 0.005527 0.011785 0.023586 0.046786 0.090272 0.166748 0.308959
2025-11-30 0.005119 0.011414 0.023754 0.048891 0.097585 0.185814 0.354532
2025-12-07 0.004529 0.010567 0.022874 0.048853 0.100864 0.197943 0.388807
2025-12-14 0.003879 0.009491 0.021404 0.047501 0.101560 0.205599 0.416057
2025-12-21 0.003398 0.008700 0.020406 0.046972 0.103811 0.216408 0.450374
2025-12-28 0.003231 0.008612 0.020904 0.049668 0.112960 0.241512 0.514867
2026-01-04 0.003010 0.008351 0.020976 0.051436 0.120351 0.263817 0.575904
2026-01-11 0.002611 0.007566 0.019721 0.050033 0.120691 0.271731 0.608380
2026-01-18 0.002320 0.007008 0.018916 0.049555 0.123010 0.283963 0.650943
2026-01-25 0.002013 0.006344 0.017747 0.048032 0.122733 0.290557 0.682042
2026-02-01 0.001763 0.005793 0.016778 0.046858 0.123114 0.298586 0.716953
2026-02-08 0.001594 0.005445 0.016284 0.046820 0.126214 0.312980 0.767289
2026-02-15 0.001398 0.004972 0.015376 0.045565 0.126137 0.320041 0.801552
2026-02-22 0.001342 0.004933 0.015679 0.047619 0.134698 0.348163 0.887173